The revelation that Sir Patrick believed the 4,000 deaths projection was not a sensible science slide to show came after the announcement of a second national lockdown on October 31, 2020. This was during the time when Mr. Johnson insisted that the public should see the slide as he had seen it, despite Sir Patrick’s concerns. It was later found out that Sir Patrick did not release the data and assumptions behind the worst-case scenario projection.
The Office for Statistics Regulation criticized Sir Patrick for this oversight, stating that it was crucial to release such information to ensure transparency and accountability. Mr. Johnson was forced to make a hasty announcement of the lockdown after plans were leaked to the media, and he spent a considerable amount of time on the phone explaining his reasoning to critics before the press conference.
It is worth noting that despite its scientific validity, Sir Patrick expressed his belief that the 4,000 deaths projection was not a sensible science slide to show. He also noted in his diaries in October 2020 that there were claims by Dominic Cummings, Mr. Johnson’s senior adviser, that “Rishi thinks just let people die and that’s okay.” This raises questions about the leadership’s approach towards managing the pandemic and their decisions made during this time.