Yankees Predicted to Finish in Last Place by Baseball Reference

The New York Yankees are projected to have a dismal playoff outlook in 2024, according to stat analysts at Baseball Reference. They predict the team will have only a 2.7 percent chance of making the postseason and winning just 71.6 games, which is below some other teams in the league.

However, Fangraphs predicts that the Yankees will win 88 games, placing them fourth overall in baseball. BetRivers Sportsbook forecasts New York to win 91.5 games, giving them the third-highest odds to win the most games in baseball. Additionally, BetRivers also gives the Yankees a 77.01 percent chance of making the playoffs, significantly higher than Baseball Reference’s projection.

The projection by Baseball Reference is based on their Simple Rating System, which calculates run differential and schedule strength from previous games and does not consider player injuries or offseason changes. Despite their poor 2023 season, the Yankees are expected to see improvement with Juan Soto on the team and a potential full season from Aaron Judge. The Simple Rating System used for the projection may seem limited, especially considering the changes to the roster in the offseason.

By Samantha Johnson

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