The Chinese economy defied expectations by achieving a quarter-on-quarter growth of 1.6%, surpassing the forecasted 0.9% growth rate and following a 1.0% increase in the previous quarter. This growth was particularly significant as Beijing had set a target of 5.0% for the year 2024.
While some economic indicators showed positive signs, such as a 4.5% year-on-year increase in industrial production in March and a 3.1% rise in retail sales during the same period, other indicators pointed to a loss of momentum at the end of the quarter.
Retail sales had previously advanced by 5.5% in February, indicating a slowdown in consumer spending. However, fixed asset investment saw a 4.5% year-on-year increase, and the Chinese unemployment rate fell slightly from 5.3% to 5.2%. This shift suggested that there might be a change in momentum in the economy.
Following the release of these economic figures, market sentiment towards China shifted, with economists forecasting further investment growth and a decrease in unemployment rates.
The reaction of investors was immediate as they began buying up Chinese assets, driving up stock prices and commodity prices across Asia.
Despite these mixed signals, economists believe that China’s economy will continue to grow at a steady pace throughout the year, with fixed asset investment remaining strong and retail sales gradually recovering from their slump earlier this year.
In response to these developments, investors began buying up Australian shares and bonds as they sought to take advantage of this new opportunity to diversify their portfolios.
As a result of these market moves, the Australian Dollar (AUD/USD) initially rose to $0.64446 before dropping to $0.64081 on Friday morning.
Overall, these economic figures suggest that while China’s economy is facing some challenges due to slowing consumer spending and rising debt levels, it remains resilient and continues to grow despite global economic uncertainty caused by COVID-19 pandemic fears