Iran is bracing for a potential retaliatory attack from Israel on its territory or territories, following Tehran’s missile and drone assault over the weekend. The US and European countries are urging Israel to respond in a way that prevents further escalation of tensions. In response, Iran has made preparations by readying its air force for possible strikes and escorting Iranian commercial ships in the Red Sea. Additionally, Iranian personnel are being evacuated from sites in Syria where the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps is heavily present.
The Revolutionary Guards and Hezbollah are adjusting their presence in Syria, with senior officers reducing their numbers and mid-ranking officers relocating within the country. Israel has declared its intention to respond, but officials state that they will do so at a strategic time and in a responsible manner. The Biden administration is urging Israel to exercise restraint and acknowledge the successful repulsion of Iran’s attack by a US-brokered alliance including Israel and Arab countries.
British and German foreign ministers have visited Israel to emphasize the importance of de-escalation. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu reiterated Israel’s commitment to defending itself and making decisions accordingly. Israeli officials have assured Arab allies that any response to Iran’s attack will not endanger their security and may focus on facilities in Syria linked to Iran.
The potential for Israel’s response to escalate into a wider regional conflict is a concern for many parties involved. Iran has warned of a severe response to any action against its interests. The European Union is considering new sanctions against Iran, including measures related to its support of pro-Iranian militias in the Middle East. The International Atomic Energy Agency has confirmed Iran’s compliance with nuclear inspection protocols.
Hezbollah and the Israeli military have engaged in exchanges of fire along the northern border, within established rules of engagement to prevent a broader conflict. The recent activity in Gaza has slowed as Israel considers options to address the crisis in Rafah. Aid shipments to Gaza are increasing, but President Biden has called for further efforts to alleviate the humanitarian situation